CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-08-10T03:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-08-10T03:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/32684/-1
CME Note: Partial halo CME faintly seen towards the NE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and the NE of STEREO A COR2. Overlaps in the field of view with CME: 2024-08-10T03:12:00-CME-001. The likely source is an M5.3 flare peaking at 2024-08-10T02:37Z from AR 3780 (approx. S08W02) with associated eruption with dimming and post-eruptive arcades best seen in SDO AIA 193 and GOES SUVI 284. The eruption is also visible in STEREO A EUV 195. No CME arrival signature in the solar wind.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-08-13T02:46Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 65.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.25 - 6.25
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 35.55 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-08-11T15:13Z
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